Turning Compliance Theatre into Real Control

Value Delivered

  • Confident product decisions grounded in regulatory insight
  • Stronger first-line product risk ownership
  • Evidence-based roadmaps and prioritisation
  • Sharper positioning and go-to-market execution
  • Faster delivery of commercially viable solutions
  • Senior product and risk judgement at critical moments

I am also the co-author of Trade-Based Money Laundering Compliance and the Law and a recognised voice in economic crime prevention and compliance technology. My approach is practical, commercially astute and designed to help organisations make better decisions faster.

What is TBML?

The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) defines Trade-Based Money Laundering (TBML) as “the process of disguising the proceeds of crime and moving value through the use of trade transactions in an attempt to legitimise their illicit origins”. This definition, introduced in 2006, typically emphasizes international trade involving goods, misrepresentation of price, quantity or quality, and the use of trade finance instruments like letters of credit. The definition implies that organized criminal gangs are the primary perpetrators, exploiting cross-border transactions and physical goods through documentary manipulation.​

But here’s the uncomfortable truth: this definition is dangerously narrow, deeply misleading, and has done more to protect launderers than to stop them.

1. It Ignores Domestic Trade—Where a lot of Laundering Happens

The FATF definition obsesses over international transactions, yet trade-related laundering occurs domestically as well, using simple wire transfers, open account arrangements, and networks of small businesses that fly entirely under regulatory radar.​

Criminals aren’t stupid. If you wanted to launder money, would you choose heavily scrutinized, documentation-intensive trade finance products that banks examine with forensic detail—or would you use a cash-intensive front business trading domestically, with minimal KYC requirements and no price anomalies to detect?​

The definition frames TBML as the domain of organized crime—drug cartels, human traffickers, arms dealers. Reality? Statistically, 65% of value transfers using TBML methods are conducted by multinational corporations for tax avoidance.​

Large corporations systematically misprice goods and services through transfer pricing manipulation, shifting profits to low-tax jurisdictions. In 2008 alone, Zambia lost nearly half its GDP due to copper export transfer mispricing. These techniques are often technically legal but morally indistinguishable from criminal laundering—and they involve exponentially larger sums than traditional crime proceeds.​

Yet the FATF definition conveniently omits this. Why? Perhaps because confronting corporate tax abuse would require political courage that global standard-setters lack.

The FATF definition centers on detecting anomalies: over/under-invoicing, phantom shipments, falsified documentation. But well-organized criminals don’t trigger red flags. They don’t misrepresent data—they use real businesses, legitimate transactions, and accurate documentation to blend dirty money with clean.​

Red flags designed to catch mispricing predominantly alert on legitimate businesses with explainable variations (seasonal discounts, freight cost differences, reporting errors), generating 95-99% false positives. Meanwhile, the actual launderers—running clean-looking operations—remain invisible.​

The FATF definition grudgingly acknowledges services in a brief 2008 mention, but the focus remains overwhelmingly on physical goods. Yet trade in services—accounting, legal, marketing, consulting, digital platforms—presents equally exploitable channels for value transfer with even less transparency and documentation than goods.​

Approximately 80% of global trade settles via open account (buyer orders goods, receives them, pays via wire transfer). Only 20% uses trade finance products. Yet regulatory scrutiny, bank compliance resources, and technology investments disproportionately target trade finance—the least attractive route for sophisticated laundering—while open account flows, with minimal documentation and low visibility, are largely ignored.​


TBML is not a discrete typology—it’s an umbrella term for any use of trade (buying, selling, or exchanging goods or services, domestically or internationally) to disguise illicit origins or transfer value improperly.​

This spectrum includes:

  • Mid-level operations: Financing real imports with drug money, using invoice manipulation across networks of front companies, exploiting open account simplicity to move funds without documentation scrutiny​
  • Advanced schemes: Professionally orchestrated TBML platforms (e.g., Kyrgyzstan’s AsiaUniversalBank laundering $1.2 billion), corporate transfer pricing manipulation, phantom trade layered within legitimate supply chains​
  • Grey-area practices: Aggressive tax planning by multinationals that exploits regulatory gaps, often legally permissible but ethically wrong and economically devastating to source countries​

Banks comply with a fiction. Following FATF guidance, they concentrate resources on trade finance products, scrutinizing letters of credit for price anomalies while actual laundering flows freely through domestic trade, open accounts, services, and small business networks.​

Law enforcement chases shadows. Poorly resourced, inadequately trained, and incentivized to report “wins” rather than pursue complex cases, police target low-hanging fruit—small-time fraudsters who hit red flags—while the real whales (corporates shifting billions tax-free) operate with impunity.​

Technology vendors build the wrong tools. Compliance software replicates FATF typologies, automating the detection of mispricing anomalies that generate noise, not insight. Participants in research noted that existing tools “find idiots, stupid money launderers“—not sophisticated actors.​

Regulators perpetuate symbolic compliance. Fines, audits, and enforcement actions focus on procedural failures (did you file the SAR? did you run the screen?) rather than substantive outcomes (did you actually disrupt laundering?). Banks respond with defensive over-reporting, flooding FIUs with useless alerts, while nobody wants to “rock the boat” by challenging the prevailing orthodoxy.​


TBML should be redefined as:

The use of any trade activity—domestic or international, goods or services, with or without data misrepresentation—to disguise the origins of illicit funds, transfer value improperly, or evade legitimate fiscal obligations, conducted by any actor (criminals, corporates, or individuals) seeking to obscure the true nature, source, or ownership of proceeds.

This definition:

  • Includes domestic trade and services
  • Recognizes corporate tax abuse as part of the problem continuum
  • Acknowledges that no misrepresentation may be detectable
  • Focuses on intent and economic impact, not just documentary anomalies

The FATF definition of TBML is a 30-year-old policy artifact that reflects geopolitical priorities (U.S.-led focus on drug trade and terrorism finance), lobbying by compliance consultancies and vendors (who profit from the status quo), and regulatory timidity (avoiding confrontation with powerful corporates).

It does not reflect how trade is actually abused. It does not guide effective detection. It does not disrupt real money flows.

Until the compliance community—regulators, banks, law enforcement, academics, technology providers—fundamentally rethinks what TBML is and who commits it, current controls will continue to be performative theatre: lots of paperwork, zero real impact on the trillions laundered annually.

Are you ready to challenge the orthodoxy—or will you keep ticking boxes while criminals laugh all the way to the (offshore) bank?

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My Book

Reviews:

A stimulating, critical examination of TBML and how it is combatted (or not). The authors cogently argue that the true danger of TBML is not its invisibility, but our belief that rigorous compliance frameworks equal control, when in fact, the illusion of control allows illicit finance to flourish. – Michael Levi, Cardiff University, UK

TBML is arguably the largest and most consequential money laundering methodology today, yet simultaneously the least understood, recognized, and enforced. This timely and valuable book provides fresh insights. I applaud its focus on how both policymakers and practitioners often prioritize symbolic responses over meaningful and substantive countermeasures. – John Cassara, former U.S. Treasury Special Agent (retired); Author of Trade-Based Money Laundering: The Next Frontier in International Money Laundering Enforcement

Contact: mariola.marzouk@gmail.com

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